Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Exit Polls: Cuomo Leads in Nearly All Demographics, Though Numbers Down Slightly


Exit poll data in the governor’s race from 20 different polling sites showed leads across almost all demographics for Andrew Cuomo.


Cuomo and his Republican opponent, Rob Astorino, were in a statistical dead heat among white voters, with 47 percent for Cuomo to 46 percent for Astorino. However, Cuomo had a huge lead among black voters, with 82 percent going for the incumbent, though that margin appears to be down by 4 percentage points from four years ago.


The governor’s highest margin was from black women, where he received 85 percent, compared to 54 percent of white women who voted for Cuomo. In addition, 72 percent of Latino voters voted for Cuomo.


When split by gender, exit polls indicated that 50 percent of male voters supported Cuomo compared to 43 percent for Astorino. The governor, though, had a substantial lead among women voters, as 63 percent of women surveyed voted for Cuomo to Astorino’s 31 percent.


The Republican Westchester County executive had only one advantage on Election Day, and that was with white men, who went for him 52 percent to Cuomo’s 40 percent.


When it came to age groups, voters from the age of 25 to senior citizens all preferred Cuomo by healthy margin.


The democrat also built his victory around low-income voters. According to the scientific poll, Cuomo sweeps every income bracket.. His highest margins come from voters making less than $ 50,000 per year.


Though the results spelled good news for the governor, the survey showed that Cuomo is down fractionally among all groups, except white women, where his numbers remained the same, perhaps due to low voter turnout.


When it comes to more general concerns, New Yorkers overwhelmingly said they were worried about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next year. Eighty-three percent said they were worried, while 16 percent said they were not.


Voters were also asked which group they thought the U.S. economic system favored, and 69 percent of New Yorkers said it favors the wealthy, while 23 percent said it is fair.


At the same time, speaking to their personal financial situation, 27 percent of those surveyed said they were better off than two years ago, 30 percent said they are worse off and 42 percent said they are about the same.


One issue that was on voters minds as they cast their ballot was immigration. According to exit polls, 72 percent said those here illegally should be offered a chance to apply for legal status, while 28 percent said they should be deported.


Voters were also asked how concerned they are about another major terrorist attack in wake of the news about the Islamic State. Seventy-four percent of New Yorkers polled said they are very or somewhat worried, while 24-percent or not too worried or worried at all.


On the heels of the largest march for climate change last month, the environment was big on voters’ minds. Seventy-six percent of New Yorkers polled said climate change is a serious problem, while 24 percent said it is not.


As the medical marijuana industry gets ready to come to New York State, 57 percent of New Yorkers who responded said recreational use of the drug should be legalized, while 40 percent said it should not be legalized.


Exit polls also revealed that voters had mixed opinions of both President Barack Obama and former Secretary of State and New York Sen. Hillary Clinton.


When asked to weigh in on Obama’s job performance, 48 percent of poll respondents said they approved, while 50 percent disapproved.


In addition, 50 percent of poll respondents said Obama’s role was a factor in their vote for Congress, while 49 percent said it wasn’t a factor.


As for Clinton, only 48 percent of New York voters who were polled said she would make a good president, while 45 percent said she would not.


Views of New Jersey Governor Chris Christie were decidedly more negative. Only 34 percent of New Yorkers polled said he would make a good president, while 61 percent said he would not.


Washington is not getting high marks with New York voters, as 76 percent of New Yorkers disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job, compared to just 22 percent who approved of its performance.


In addition, only 17 percent of voters think they can trust the federal government to do what is right most of the time. A whopping 81 percent think that’s true only some or none of the time.


Voters were also split regarding the federal government’s response to the Ebola virus in the U.S, as 49 percent approved of it, while 47 percent disapproved.


The surveys are being conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool.


Results were subject to a sampling error of +/- 4 percentage points. That margin of error is higher for subgroups.





NEWS – NY1




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